搜索医学 AI 论文与资源

ICLR 2026 Poster accepted paper at ICLR 2026. Predicting individualized potential outcomes in sequential decision-making is central for optimizing therapeutic decisions in personalized medicine (e.g., which dosing sequence to give to a cancer patient). However, predicting potential out- comes over long horizons is notoriously difficult. Existing methods that break the curse of the horizon typically lack strong theoretical guarantees such as orthogonality and quasi-oracle efficiency. In this paper, we revisit the problem of predicting individualized potential outcomes in sequential decision-making (i.e., estimating Q-functions in Markov decision processes with observational data) through a causal inference lens.

ICLR 2026 Poster accepted paper at ICLR 2026. Effective information seeking in multi-turn medical dialogues is critical for accurate diagnosis, especially when dealing with incomplete information. Aligning Large Language Models (LLMs) for these interactive scenarios is challenging due to the uncertainty inherent in user-agent interactions, which we formulate as a Hierarchical Markov Decision Process (H-MDP). While conventional Reinforcement Learning (RL) methods like Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) struggle with long-horizon credit assignment and Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) suffers from unstable value estimation in this context, we propose a novel uncertainty-aware Adaptive Tree Policy Optimization (ATPO) algorithm. Our method adaptively allocates the rollout budget to states with high uncertainty, quantified by a composite metric of Bellman error and action-value variance.